New Colorado poll shows Clinton leading Trump, Bennet over Glenn

A poll of likely Colorado voters released today shows Hillary Clinton 7 points ahead of Donald Trump in the race for the White House, and current U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet leading his Republican rival Darryl Glenn by 11 points.choice_clinton_trump

Clinton lead Trump 41 percent to 34 percent when all major candidates are included. One in ten likely voters is still undecided on whom to back for president. Bennet lead Glenn 42 percent to 31 percent, with more than one in five voters undecided.

The poll, conducted by Franklin & Marshall College and commissioned by Rocky Mountain PBS and Colorado Mesa University, had a margin of error of 6 points. So both Clinton’s 7-point lead and Bennet’s 11-point lead are outside the margin of error.

The RMPBS-CMU poll stands in contrast to Colorado poll released earlier this month by Emerson College that showed Trump had a 4-point lead with a 3-point margin of error.

Dr. Justin Gollob, associate professor of political science at Colorado Mesa University, touted the methodology of the RMPBS-CSU poll, which included calling cell phones and having live interviewers instead of automated voices.

“Polling methodology is like chili recipes – they all turn out different,” Gollob said. “We feel ours is a proven methodology. Clinton’s lead has shrunk from August and the conventions, but the probability that Clinton is leading is strong.”

The RMPBS-CMU poll also found:

  • Third-party candidates appear to be pulling more votes away from Clinton and Bennet than from their Republican rivals. Former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, the Libertarian presidential candidate, polled 12 percent of likely Colorado voters. Clinton lost 3 points when other candidates were given as options; Trump only lost 1 point.
  • Nearly one in four of the undecided voters said they were leaning toward Hillary Clinton. Some 17 percent said they were leaning toward Donald Trump and 16 percent toward Gary Johnson.
  • Independent voters lean heavily for Clinton with 34 percent, Johnson has 26 percent and Trump just 12 percent. Some 22 percent of Independent or third-party voters are still undecided.
  • Most likely Colorado voters have an opinion about both Trump and Clinton — and it’s pretty negative. Those with strongly favorable opinions — 18 percent for Trump, 19 percent for Clinton — paled next to the negative views — 61 percent feel strongly unfavorable toward Trump, 43 percent feel that way about Clinton.
  • More than half the polled voters (55 percent) said they didn’t know enough about U.S. Senate candidate Darryl Glenn to form an opinion about him.
  • Third-party Senate candidates are not polling as well as their presidential race counterparts. Libertarian Lily Tang Williams polled 3 percent, Green Party candidate Arn Menconi polled 1 percent and Unity Party candidate Bill Hammons received no support.

The RMPBS-CMU poll asked voters about several of the major ballot issues they’ll decide in November:

  • Seventy percent of voters said they favored Proposition 106, the medical aid-in-dying measure that would allow terminally ill individuals to use doctor-prescribed medication to end their lives.
  • Some 58 percent of voters favored Amendment 70, which would amend the state constitution in order to raise the state minimum wage from $8.31 an hour to $12 an hour by January 2020.
  • Just over half of voters (52 percent) said they’d back Amendment 71, which would amend the state constitution to make it harder to amend the state constitution. It would require a certain number of signatures from each of 35 state senate districts and increase to 55 the percentage of votes required to adopt a constitutional amendment.
  • Voters opposed Amendment 69 to create a statewide healthcare system, with 38% of voters strongly against it versus 15% strongly in favor.

Fewer than half of registered voters report hearing, seeing or reading a “great deal” or “fair amount” about these ballot issues.

The poll was conducted September 14-18 by Franklin & Marshall College. The poll tapped 540 registered voters in Colorado, including 174 Republicans, 172 Democrats, and 154 Independents.

7 thoughts on “New Colorado poll shows Clinton leading Trump, Bennet over Glenn

  1. Most voters who learn more about ColoradoCare (amendment 69) actually favor it. Healthcare is a complex subject, and the big drug and insurance companies have donated millions of dollars to try to defeat ColoradoCare. They don’t want to lose their huge profits.

    ColoradoCare (amendment 69) was designed by a self funded group of Coloradans with no connection to any corporation, industry or political party. It would create a non-profit cooperative owned by the people of Colorado and run by a 21-member board of trustees elected by the people of Colorado. It would simplify our healthcare payment system while keeping our doctors, specialists, clinics and hospitals as independent businesses competing for your business.

    ColoradoCare is our chance to get the big insurance companies and their bureaucracy, waste, profits, lobbyists and campaign contributions out of our healthcare. ColoradoCare would cover every Coloradan with top quality healthcare, with no deductibles, while costing us less than we pay now.

    You owe it to yourself and your fellow Coloradans to learn more about ColoradoCare and vote for it in November.

    • How can you possibly know that “most voters who learn more about Coloradocare actually favor it”?

      What polls have been done to support this assertion?
      Isn’t your claim more conjecture than fact?

  2. “Most voters who learn more about ColoradoCare (amendment 69) actually favor it.”

    How do you know this? Did you do your own poll? Where is the data?

    I suspect your statement is purely conjecture.

  3. Voters should be concerned about Prop 106. It’s not medical aid in dying, whatever that means. It’s a pure assisted suicide bill which gives a doctor the right to help another person directly kill themselves. It does not even require an evaluation of the person by a psychiatrist or psychologist before they get the death pills.

    • Actually, yes it does. 3 physicians have to confirm the diagnoses, and the person has to be evaluated to make sure that they completely understand the implications of their decision. If someone is terminally ill and dying, why keep them alive to suffer for 6 more months if they don’t want to?

  4. Article states: “Seventy percent of voters said they favored Proposition 106, the medical aid-in-dying measure that would allow terminally ill individuals to use doctor-prescribed medication to end their lives.”

    Same bill came before Massachusetts voters in 2012. Polls a couple months before showed nearly 80% in favor. But after voters were informed of the bill’s flaws, they voted it down.

    This is what Senator Ted Kennedy’s widow said at the time:

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